El auge de China y la hegemonía americana

Doug Bandow escribe en Antiwar.com sobre el auge de China y lo que supone para la hegemonía americana y su política exterior.

The China that could be browbeaten by outsiders disappeared in 1949, with the proclamation of the PRC. The most powerful incentive for China to change its behavior today is the desire to play a larger international role. For instance, becoming a leading trading nation required membership in the World Trade Organization and a series of domestically controversial economic and legal reforms. The desire to influence Taiwanese politics required Beijing to drop its crude, overt threats against the island state a few years ago. (...)

Perceived hostility toward America reflects many roots. Genuine ideological Marxist-Leninists dedicated to the global destruction of capitalism still exist, but they hold few positions of influence. Far more important are the many Chinese, call them patriots or nationalists, depending on your perspective, who are determined to prevent the U.S. and other nations from coercing the PRC in the future. They certainly are not friendly to Washington's imperial pretensions. But they aren't likely to ignite a global nuclear holocaust, either. (...)

Thus, in the short term the U.S. has nothing to fear from China's rise, other than a reduction in Washington's ability to initiate war halfway around the world against the PRC for less than vital interests. In the longer term the U.S. will have to adapt to a world where it no longer dominates every region on every issue. But there is no reason for American-Chinese competition to turn violent.